The Origins and Breakdown of Democracy

 “Breaking out of the Coup Trap: Political Competition and Military Coups in Latin America (with Aníbal Pérez-Liñán)," Comparative Political Studies, Vol. 47, No. 8 (July 2014): 1105–1129.

“The Third and Fourth Waves of Democracy,” in Jeffrey Haynes, ed., Routledge Handbook of Democratization (London: Routledge, 2012): 273-86.

“Bolivia: From Neoliberal Democracy to Plebiscitarian, Multi-Ethnic Politics,” in Howard Wiarda and Harvey Kline, eds., Latin American Politics and Development, 8th ed. (Boulder, Co: Westview Press, 2014): 271-86.

 “Bolivia’s Constitutional Breakdown,” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 19, No. 4 (October 2008): 110-24.

“Political Institutions, Instability, and Democratic Performance in Latin America: A Research Agenda,” Lateinamerika Analysen, Vol. 7 (February 2004): 147-60.

 “The Institutional Foundations of Democratic Cooperation in Costa Rica,” Journal of Latin American Studies, Vol. 28, No. 2 (May, 1996): 329-355.

 “Class Conflict, Political Crisis, and the Breakdown of Democratic Practices in Costa Rica: Reassessing the Origins of the 1948 Civil War,” Journal of Latin American Studies, Vol. 23, No. 1 (February 1991): 37-60 (A Spanish-language translation appears in Revista de Historia [Heredia/San José, Costa Rica], No. 25 [January-June 1992]: 65- 96).

Electoral Fraud and Reform

“Varying the Un-Variable: Social Structure, Electoral Formulae, and Election Quality (co-authored with Kiril Kolev),” Political Research Quarterly, Vol. 68, No. 2 (June 2015): 240-252.

“When does a Market for Votes Emerge?” Democracy for Sale: The Causes and Consequences of Vote Buying, ed. by Frederick Shaffer (Boulder, Co.: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2007): 33-46.

“Electoral Fraud: Causes, Types, and Consequences,” Annual Review of Political Science, Vol. 6 (Palo Alto, CA: Annual Reviews, Inc., 2003): 233-56

(an updated version underwent peer review and appeared in translation as “¿Qué es el fraude electoral? Su naturaleza, sus causas y consecuencias,” Revista Mexicana de Sociología, Vol. 69, No 1 [January-March 2007]: 1-37).

“Can Parties Police Themselves?  Electoral Governance and Democratization,“ International Political Science Review, Vol. 23, No. 1 (January 2002): 29-46 (Reprinted in Hugo A. Concha Cantú, ed., Sistema representativo y democracia semidirecta: memoria del VII Congreso Iberoamericano del Derecho Constitucional [México, D.F.: Instituto de Investigaciones Jurídicas, UNAM, 2002]: 383-410; Spanish language translation published as “¿Pueden los partidos ser juez y parte? Gobernabilidad electoral y democratización,” Revista del Instituto Electoral del Estado de México: Apuntes Electorales, No. 12 [abril-junio 2003]: 128-53).

“Institutionalizing Democracy: Constraint and Ambition in the Politics of Electoral Reform,” Comparative Politics, Vol. 32, No. 4 (July 2000): 459-77

(For a slightly longer version and Spanish translation, see: “Institucionalización de la democracia: trabas y ambiciones en la política de la reforma electoral,” Foro Internacional [Mexico, D.F.], Vol. 41, No. 1 [January-March 2001]: 104-36).

“Democratización y gobernabilidad electoral: el caso de Costa Rica (Iván Molina, coautor), (Democratization and Electoral Governability: The Case of Costa Rica),” Política y Gobierno, Vol. IX, No. 1 (January-June 2002): 135-179.

 “Political Competition and Electoral Fraud: A Latin American Case Study,” (Iván Molina, coauthor), Journal of Interdisciplinary History, Vol. 30, No. 2 (Autumn 1999): 199-234

(For an updated version and Spanish translation, see: “La competencia política y el fraude electoral: un caso latinoamericano,” Revista Mexicana de Sociología, Vol. 61, No 9 [July-September 1999]: 103-37).

 “Institutional Change and Political Conflict: Evaluating Alternative Explanations of Electoral Reform in Costa Rica,” Electoral Studies, Vol. 14, No. 1 (March 1995): 23-45. (This also is available as Working Paper No. 189, Helen Kellogg Institute, University of Notre Dame, [January 1993]).

Democracy and Its Institutions

“Authoritarian and Democratic Regimes in Central America,” in Diego Sánchez-Ancochea and Salvador Martí i Puíg, eds., The Routledge Handbook of Central American Governance (London: Routledge, 2014): 134-48.

“The Third Wave of Democracy: Findings and Implications,” Latin American Research Review, Vol. 43, No. 1 (2008): 245-55.

“Mexico,” Parties and Democracies: The KAS Democracy Report 2007, ed. by Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (Bonn: Bouvier Verlag, 2007): 302-17.

“Measuring Political Democracy: Case Expertise, Data Adequacy, and Central America,” (Kirk Bowman and James M. Mahoney, coauthors), Comparative Political Studies, Vol. 38, No. 8 (October 2005): 939-70.

“Costa Rica: Paradise in Doubt,” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 16, No. 3 (July 2005): 140-54 (This article led to an exchange with former President Miguel Angel Rodríguez. 

My reply, which follows his reflections, appears as “Different Times, Different Demands,” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 17, No. 2 (April 2006): 165-7).

“Explaining Voter Turnout Rates in New Democracies: Guatemala,” (David L. Wall, coauthor), Electoral Studies, Vol. 23, No. 3 (September 2004): 485-500.

"Élections, droits de suffrage et participation électorale en Amérique centrale, 1901-2000 (Elections, Suffrage Rights, and Voter Turnout Rates in Central America, 1901-2000),” Problèmes d'Amérique latine, n°54 (automne 2004): 11-32.

Political Economy

“La economía política de la desigualdad en Centroamérica (the Political Economy of Inequality in Central America),” Anuario de Estudios Centroamericanos, Vol. 38 (2012): 79-108.

"Political Competition, Constitutional Arrangements," and the Quality of Public Policies in Costa Rica," Latin American Politics and Society (2010).  

“Why is Structural Reform Stagnating in Mexico? Policy Reform Episodes from Salinas to Fox,” unpublished paper.

 “Political Competition, Policy Making, and the Quality of Public Policies in Costa Rica,” Working Paper, Commission on Growth and Development, World Bank.

“Income and Electoral Calculations in the 2006 Presidential Elections in Mexico,” Política y Gobierno, forthcoming.

“Structural Reform, Democratic Governance, and Institutional Design in Latin America,” Comparative Politics, Vol. 39, No. 2 (January 2007): 229-48.

“Policymaking Under One-Party Hegemonic and Divided Government in Mexico,” ( Gabriel Negretto, Francisco Aparicio, Benito Nacif, and Allyson Benton, coauthors), Policymaking in Latin America: How Politics Shape Policies, ed. by Ernesto Stein and Mariano Tommasi (Cambridge, Mass.: David Rockefeller Center for Latin American Studies, Harvard University/Inter-American Development Bank, 2008): 287-328. Bibliography . For the version in Spanish, click here.

“Proceso de políticas, partidos e instituciones en la Costa Rica democrática (Policymaking, Parties, and Institutions in Democratic Costa Rica),” in Democracia fuerte ¿Alcanza? Análisis de Gobernabilidad en Costa Rica, ed. by Miguel Gutiérrez-Saxe and Fernando Straface (Washington, D.C.: Inter-American Development Bank, 2008): 159-196.

Institutions and the Environment

“Municipal Politics and Forest Governance: Comparative Analysis of Decentralization in Bolivia and Guatemala,” (Krister Andersson and Clark G. Gibson, coauthors), World Development, Vol. 34, No. 3 (March 2006): 576-95.

“The Politics of Decentralizing Natural Resource Policy,” (Krister Andersson and Clark G. Gibson, coauthors) PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 37, no. 3 (August  2004): 421-6.

“The Local Politics of Decentralized Environmental Policy in Guatemala,” (Clark Gibson, coauthor), Journal of Environment and Development, Vol. 12, No. 1 (March 2003): 28-49.

“Does Privatization Protect Natural Resrouces? Property Rights and Forests in Guatemala,” (Clark G. Gibson and John T. Williams, coauthors), Social Science Quarterly, Vol. 83, No. 1 (March 2002): 206-25.